Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.030561 0.032948 0.035447 0.038260 0.041344 0.044626 0.048389
2025-02-09 0.026504 0.029864 0.033570 0.037975 0.043087 0.048855 0.055886
2025-02-16 0.023837 0.027755 0.032251 0.037819 0.044574 0.052553 0.062770
2025-02-23 0.021779 0.026031 0.031064 0.037512 0.045622 0.055575 0.068859
2025-03-02 0.020279 0.024783 0.030260 0.037482 0.046856 0.058756 0.075236
2025-03-09 0.018815 0.023431 0.029176 0.036941 0.047300 0.060846 0.080231
2025-03-16 0.017488 0.022141 0.028050 0.036215 0.047378 0.062367 0.084468
2025-03-23 0.016481 0.021187 0.027276 0.035864 0.047881 0.064428 0.089533
2025-03-30 0.015595 0.020330 0.026564 0.035524 0.048331 0.066390 0.094540
2025-04-06 0.014676 0.019371 0.025647 0.034823 0.048195 0.067459 0.098239
2025-04-13 0.014211 0.019003 0.025510 0.035197 0.049605 0.070842 0.105689
2025-04-20 0.013661 0.018482 0.025125 0.035175 0.050407 0.073336 0.111899
2025-04-27 0.013282 0.018188 0.025050 0.035610 0.051933 0.077057 0.120437
2025-05-04 0.012698 0.017571 0.024476 0.035261 0.052221 0.078843 0.125897
2025-05-11 0.012212 0.017072 0.024047 0.035100 0.052779 0.081076 0.132273
2025-05-18 0.011729 0.016552 0.023559 0.034814 0.053108 0.082936 0.138121
2025-05-25 0.011347 0.016166 0.023249 0.034785 0.053840 0.085497 0.145414
2025-06-01 0.010872 0.015619 0.022669 0.034290 0.053762 0.086654 0.150195
2025-06-08 0.010387 0.015036 0.022007 0.033625 0.053353 0.087198 0.153840
2025-06-15 0.010014 0.014610 0.021570 0.033305 0.053506 0.088730 0.159495
2025-06-22 0.009666 0.014208 0.021153 0.032993 0.053649 0.090240 0.165215
2025-06-29 0.009263 0.013706 0.020557 0.032351 0.053171 0.090574 0.168573
2025-07-06 0.009098 0.013573 0.020544 0.032693 0.054461 0.094264 0.179142